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Luanda (Angola) ↔ Maputo (Mozambique)

Luanda (Angola) ↔ Maputo (Mozambique)

Route Status: Underserved
Route Type: Intra-African international
Region: Southern Africa


1. Demand & Passenger Traffic

  • Current demand (2024): ~45,000 passengers/year

  • Past demand (2022): ~42,865 passengers

  • Forecast demand (2026): ~47,281 passengers

  • Annual growth rate: ~2.5% CAGR

  • Main traveler types: Energy sector professionals, government, trade groups, Portuguese business travelers

  • Top O&D substitute cities: Johannesburg, Addis Ababa, Nairobi

  • Total travel time saved with direct flight: 8–12 hours per trip

  • Average ticket cost (2024): $900–$1,300 round trip

2. Revenue Projections

  • Estimated average yield: ~$210 per passenger

  • Estimated annual route revenue: ~$9.5 million

  • Potential net revenue after ops costs: ~$2.8–4.2 million

  • Pricing advantage: Cuts out costly multi-leg options through South Africa

  • Seat load target: 60%+ breakeven on narrow-body aircraft

3. Economic Justification

  • Angola GDP growth: 2.8%

  • Mozambique GDP growth: 5.0%

  • Luanda: OPEC-member capital with strong oil export base

  • Maputo: LNG and offshore gas infrastructure hub

  • Shared language and growing trade cooperation between Portuguese-speaking African countries

4. Aircraft & Operational Details

  • Aircraft types: Boeing 737 MAX, A320neo, Embraer E195-E2

  • Flight time (direct): ~3hr 30min

  • Range: Within operating limits for all aircraft listed

  • Runway length: Sufficient for narrow-body service at both airports

5. Proposed Launch Strategy

  • Initial frequency: 2x weekly

  • Scaling target: 4–5x weekly within 12–18 months

  • Ideal timing: Midweek and weekend departures to serve energy sector travel

  • Feeder network: Capitalize on regional traffic via TAAG and LAM’s hubs

6. Strategic Value

  • Faster link for Lusophone business and political ties

  • Stronger access for regional energy investors

  • Key routing for joint ventures in oil and gas

  • Builds stronger economic bonds in Southern Africa

7. Recommended Airlines

  • TAAG Angola Airlines

  • LAM Mozambique Airlines

  • Ethiopian Airlines (via codeshare or extension)

  • Airlink