Dar es Salaam (Tanzania) ↔ Cape Town (South Africa)

Dar es Salaam (Tanzania) ↔ Cape Town (South Africa)

Route Status: Seasonal
Route Type: Intra-African international
Region: Southern–East Africa

1. Demand & Passenger Traffic

• Current demand (2024): ~26,000 passengers/year
  
  

• Past demand (2022): ~24,771 passengers
  
  

• Forecast demand (2026): ~27,642 passengers
  
  

• Annual growth rate: ~2.5% CAGR
  
  

• Main traveler types: Leisure travelers, trade delegates, diaspora
  
  

• Top O&D substitute cities: Johannesburg, Nairobi, Addis Ababa
  
  

• Total travel time saved with direct flight: 7–10 hours per trip
  
  

• Average ticket cost (2024): $900–1,150 round trip
  
  

2. Revenue Projections

• Estimated average yield: ~$238 per passenger
  
  

• Estimated annual route revenue: ~$6.2 million
  
  

• Potential net revenue after ops costs: ~$1.2–1.8 million
  
  

• Pricing advantage: Competitive vs indirect regional options
  
  

• Seat load target: 60% seasonal viability
  
  

3. Economic Justification

• Cape Town: Major international tourism gateway
  
  

• Dar es Salaam: Port and commercial hub with growing outbound travel
  
  

• High tourism flows in both directions
  
  

• Limited seasonal competition
  
  

4. Aircraft & Operational Details

• Aircraft types: Boeing 737 MAX 8, A320neo
  
  

• Flight time (direct): ~5hr 50min
  
  

• Range: Easily within capabilities
  
  

• Runway length: Suitable at both airports
  
  

5. Proposed Launch Strategy

• Initial frequency: 1x weekly (peak season)
  
  

• Scaling target: 2x weekly December–March
  
  

• Ideal timing: Afternoon departures both directions
  
  

• Feeder network: Tanzania’s northern safari circuit, Cape Town wine and coastal routes
  
  

6. Strategic Value

• Coastal-to-coastal tourism link
  
  

• Expands intra-African leisure travel
  
  

• Offers southern access point for East African travelers
  
  

7. Recommended Airlines

• Air Tanzania
  
  

• FlySafair
  
  

• CemAir (South Africa-based operator)