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Conakry (Guinea) ↔ Yaoundé (Cameroon)

Conakry (Guinea) ↔ Yaoundé (Cameroon)

Route Status: Underserved
Route Type: Intra-African international
Region: West–Central Africa


1. Demand & Passenger Traffic

  • Current demand (2024): ~25,000 passengers/year

  • Past demand (2022): ~23,805 passengers

  • Forecast demand (2026): ~26,563 passengers

  • Annual growth rate: ~2.5% CAGR

  • Main traveler types: Mining executives, diplomats, government officials, logistics firms

  • Top O&D substitute cities: Abidjan, Casablanca, Addis Ababa, Paris

  • Total travel time saved with direct flight: 6–9 hours per trip

  • Average ticket cost (2024): $700–$1,000 round trip

2. Revenue Projections

  • Estimated average yield: ~$160 per passenger

  • Estimated annual route revenue: ~$4.0 million

  • Potential net revenue after ops costs: ~$1–1.8 million

  • Pricing advantage: Streamlined regional travel for mining and policy sectors

  • Seat load target: 57%+ breakeven on regional aircraft

3. Economic Justification

  • Guinea GDP growth: 5.7%

  • Cameroon GDP growth: 3.9%

  • Conakry: West African mining export hub

  • Yaoundé: Central African government and policy center

  • Movement of bilateral delegations, contractors, and supply chain operators

4. Aircraft & Operational Details

  • Aircraft types: Embraer E175, Dash 8 Q400, A220-100

  • Flight time (direct): ~3hr 45min

  • Range: Easily supported by all listed aircraft

  • Runway length: Compatible with all regional jets and turboprops

5. Proposed Launch Strategy

  • Initial frequency: 2x weekly

  • Scaling target: 3–4x weekly by year two

  • Ideal timing: Midday departures to maximize international connections

  • Feeder network: Connects to Abidjan, Brazzaville, Niamey, and N'Djamena via hubs

6. Strategic Value

  • Access for mining firms and investors

  • Quicker movement of delegations and diplomats

  • Fills regional gap in West–Central African air grid

  • Creates more stable commercial access to Central Africa

7. Recommended Airlines

  • ASKY Airlines

  • Air Côte d’Ivoire

  • Camair-Co

  • Air Guinee Express