Accra (Ghana) ↔ Nairobi (Kenya)

Accra (Ghana) ↔ Nairobi (Kenya)

Route Status: Underserved
Route Type: Intra-African international
Region: West–East Africa

1. Demand & Passenger Traffic

• Current demand (2024): ~48,000 passengers/year
  
  

• Past demand (2022): ~46,090 passengers
  
  

• Forecast demand (2026): ~49,968 passengers
  
  

• Annual growth rate: ~2% CAGR
  
  

• Main traveler types: Trade, government, tourism
  
  

• Top O&D substitute cities: Addis Ababa, Kigali, Casablanca
  
  

• Total travel time saved with direct flight: 4–6 hours per trip
  
  

• Average ticket cost (2024): $850–$1,250 round trip
  
  

2. Revenue Projections

• Estimated average yield: ~$220 per passenger
  
  

• Estimated annual route revenue: ~$10.5 million
  
  

• Potential net revenue after ops costs: ~$2.7–3.4 million
  
  

• Pricing advantage: Direct could cut fares by 20–30%
  
  

• Seat load target: 62–67% breakeven range
  
  

3. Economic Justification

• Ghana: Key ECOWAS trade and finance center
  
  

• Kenya: East Africa’s business and logistics hub
  
  

• No nonstop service between two economic leaders
  
  

• Increasing intra-African investment and travel
  
  

4. Aircraft & Operational Details

• Aircraft types: A320neo, Boeing 737 MAX 8, Embraer E190-E2
  
  

• Flight time (direct): ~5hr 45min
  
  

• Range: Easily achievable
  
  

• Runway length: Sufficient for mid-size jets
  
  

5. Proposed Launch Strategy

• Initial frequency: 2x weekly
  
  

• Scaling target: 4x weekly within 18 months
  
  

• Ideal timing: Late afternoon departure from Accra, red-eye return from Nairobi
  
  

• Feeder network: Nairobi hub to Uganda, Tanzania; Accra to Abidjan, Lagos
  
  

6. Strategic Value

• Direct West–East Africa bridge
  
  

• Strong diplomatic and aviation partnerships
  
  

• Opens new travel options for business and leisure
  
  

• Better access for Pan-African conferences
  
  

7. Recommended Airlines

• Kenya Airways
  
  

• Africa World Airlines
  
  

• ASKY Airlines